While you are here, subscribe to our weekly email delivered to your inbox every Tuesday and Friday. With the state election barely three months away, the chances of the LNP winning enough seats to take government hinges upon the voters of the North Queensland, many of whom put minor parties first on the ballot.

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Former LNP Member Jason Costigan, leading his new North Queensland First Party, will contest the marginal seat of Whitsunday against the LNP and Labor," Prof Mickel said. "The LNP runs third in Mirani, where it's a contest between Labor and Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party.". Queensland has compulsory voting and uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates.

Democrats called the 2nd District “Obamaha,” after the Illinoisan swiped an electoral vote there in 2008.

Congressional district presidential results from Daily Kos.

Prof Mickel said to have any chance of winning government they needed to take the Labor seats of Barron River and Mundingburra (held by ministers Craig Crawford and Coralee O'Rourke respectively) and win back Whitsunday from Mr Costigan. Democrat Jon Ossoff is running close with GOP Sen. David Perdue in the polls — but if neither candidate earns a majority in November, the two will advance to a January 2021 runoff. Published 11/19/2019 5:00 PM ESTUpdated 9/9/2020 4:30 AM EDT.

"He also has the advantage that all of Hill is under the Federal seat of Kennedy, held by Bob Katter." Trump won it by only a little more than 2 points. 2020 Election Forecast We think the 2020 presidential race leans toward Democrat Joe Biden as the favorite. https://nnimgt-a.akamaihd.net/transform/v1/crop/frm/Y5kUJ9Q7iPMNzBC9i5WqCU/da4e97be-5802-4e92-9431-4cd490d893e7.jpg/r0_38_398_263_w1200_h678_fmax.jpg, leading his new North Queensland First Party, his electorate was so substantially redrawn, Meet Victoria's 2021 Australian of the Year nominees, What a shot: Steve Waugh takes spiritual quest to India, Pregnant mum gets full reach of RFDS care in Burketown, New Hummingbird rooms in Mount Isa Maternity Ward for infant loss. The election will be conducted by the Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ). See something wrong with our data? "Elsewhere, the LNP is behind three-cornered contests in Thuringowa and Cook between Labor, Pauline Hanson's One Nation and Katter's Australian Party.

Prof Mickel said historically, a first term member facing re-election who has worked hard receives a bounce in their support making them harder to dislodge, especially when they win election under minor party banners. His winning margin in Iowa, … Cory Gardner* (R) vs. John Hickenlooper (D). Democrat Cal Cunningham has consistently led GOP Sen. Thom Tillis, who lags behind Trump in polls.

"His party will also contest a string of other seats in North Queensland, creating another complication to the preference equation for the LNP and just to add to the challenge, two of the 14 members - Hinchinbrook, and Mirani, - are first term members seeking re-election". See something wrong with our data?

Prof Mickel said Robbie Katter has the safest seat in the Queensland Parliament in Traeger while Shane Knuth has the third safest seat on two-party preferred in Hill, with the third KAP member Nick Dametto defends his seat in Hinchinbrook. "The LNP runs third in Mirani, where it's a contest between Labor and Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party." "He also has the advantage that all of Hill is under the Federal seat of Kennedy, held by Bob Katter.". Trump became the first Republican to win Wisconsin since 1984, and all indications point to another close race in 2020.